Former Senior Presidential Advisor Moses Kuria has forecast that Kenya’s 2027 General Election will mark a turning point in the country’s political history, predicting that the presidency will, for the first time, be decided in a runoff.
In a statement posted on X on Sunday, September 28, 2025, Kuria argued that the race will be so closely contested that no candidate will secure the constitutionally required 50% +1 of the vote in the first round.
“Kenya’s fledgling multi-party democratic project has been growing gradually over the last 33 years. In 2027, a new chapter will be written … there will be no outright winner in the first round,” Kuria wrote.
His remarks come as political realignments intensify, with both government allies and opposition leaders positioning themselves for the polls. The opposition, in particular, has sharpened its criticism of President William Ruto, accusing his administration of corruption, human rights abuses, and failing to deliver on key promises.
If Kuria’s prediction proves correct, it would mark the first time Kenya invokes the two-round electoral system introduced under the 2010 Constitution. The unprecedented scenario would test the country’s electoral infrastructure and reshape campaign strategies, coalition-building, and voter engagement in the period between rounds.
Kuria, known for his bold political commentary, framed the prospect as a sign of democratic maturity — evidence that Kenya’s elections are becoming increasingly competitive and inclusive.
With the 2027 contest already generating tension and speculation, the possibility of a runoff has added fresh intrigue to the evolving political landscape.
