Madagascar’s presidency announced on Sunday that an “attempted illegal and forcible seizure of power” was underway, deepening political tensions in the island nation. The statement came a day after elite soldiers joined a month-long protest movement, marking the most serious challenge to President Andry Rajoelina’s rule since his reelection in 2023.

Members of the elite CAPSAT unit which played a pivotal role in Rajoelina’s 2009 rise to power urged fellow troops to disobey government orders and support the youth-led demonstrations that began on September 25. The protests, initially driven by frustrations over severe water and electricity shortages, have since expanded to demand Rajoelina’s resignation, an apology for protest-related violence, and the dissolution of key state institutions.

On Sunday, rival factions within the security forces each claimed control of military operations, raising fears of a split within the armed forces. The CAPSAT faction declared that it would coordinate all military branches from its base near the capital, Antananarivo. Meanwhile, the gendarmerie reaffirmed that it would take orders only from its central command, dismissing claims of divided loyalties.

Tensions escalated when three people were injured after gunfire near the CAPSAT barracks. Thousands later gathered in Antananarivo to honor a slain CAPSAT soldier, reportedly killed by the gendarmerie, in a peaceful rally attended by church leaders, opposition figures including former president Marc Ravalomanana and members of the military.

President Rajoelina condemned what he described as attempts to destabilize the country, calling instead for dialogue to resolve the crisis. The African Union echoed this stance, with Commission Chairperson Moussa Faki Mahamat urging all sides to exercise calm and restraint.

As soldiers were seen escorting protesters into Antananarivo’s historic May 13 Square long a symbol of political resistance Madagascar finds itself at a critical crossroads. The unfolding events could redefine the country’s fragile democracy and test Rajoelina’s grip on power.

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